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# of solopreneurs making $10M+ in revenue triple in the last 2 years

3 trends, 2 theses and 1 tool from Shuo

Hello friends!

Welcome (back) to Shuo’s Snippets” where I share what’s new and next in startups and tech from my work investing in fractional founders* and teaching at Berkeley and Stanford.

As always, thank you for being someone who’s made me a better and smarter person. This is my way of sharing notes and sparking discussion, so feel free to reply anytime – I’d love to hear what you’re seeing. No hurt feelings if you opt-out!

📈 3 trends in startups/tech/venture
🤔 2 theses on what’s next
🔧 1 tool I love

*a fractional founder is an entrepreneur who is transforming their part-time project into their full-time startup

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3 trends in startups/tech/venture

📈 # of solopreneurs making $10M+ in revenue triple in the last 2 years

  • Per the latest data from Stripe, the share of solopreneurs at “higher income thresholds” are seeing rapid growth, with those making >$5M and >$10M per year seeing the largest inflections since 2023 👇🏼

  • The takeaway? Thanks to AI, individuals can now achieve income levels that were once unachievable alone.

🤖 Companies using AI most surprisingly also grew headcount by 10%+

  • Per the latest data from Ramp, companies making the biggest investments in AI are contradicting news headlines and actually expanding their employee headcount, with heavy adopters increasing headcount by ~10% and entry-level hiring by 12%.

  • In fact, these job gains emerged gradually over 6-12 months, suggesting that firms are taking time to integrate AI into their processes and then adding people to take advantage of new opportunities that have emerged as a result of those new processes.

  • Meanwhile low-intensity AI adopters saw no statistically significant change in their headcount, suggesting that firms making the most AI investments are currently growing faster than comparable firms.

  • Overall, this data suggests that AI's early economic impact may be less about replacing workers and more about enabling expansion at companies able to integrate the technology effectively.

💰 Investors optimize for max intelligence per dollar vs intelligence itself

  • More investors and founders have started to focus on how to cut AI costs while increasing token usage to drive overall business growth.

  • For example, Brian Armstrong, the founder and CEO of Coinbase, has posted about cutting internal AI costs by nearly half while token usage grows exponentially — with better 1) defaults, 2) routing, and 3) caching.

    • Defaults: Shifting toward cheaper open-source models for routine tasks, especially in cases where “frontier” models like ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini aren’t substantially better.

    • Routing: Smarter model routing matches tasks to the cheapest model capable of completing them.

    • Caching: Aggressive caching eliminates redundant outputs for repeated queries.

  • As a result, more investors have started using metrics that measure “intelligence per dollar” when evaluating (AI) startups and using such metrics as proxies for how efficiently their capital will be used.

2 theses on what’s next

🤖 The real winners of AI will innovate, not automate

  • The real winners of the AI era won't be companies using AI to do the same things faster. They will be the ones using AI to completely reinvent how business gets done.

    • Today: Every corporate process was designed by humans, for humans. They are fundamentally constrained by staffing limits, 9-to-5 structures, and human burnout.

    • Tomorrow: In an agentic-first enterprise, all of the constraints of today disappear.

  • I write more about this topic in this article co-authored with Mark Settle, 7x CIO across companies including Okta and Visa.

🤔 Companies’ private evaluations will become increasingly valuable

  • More and more companies have started to ask the question: if we have our own employees, business processes, workflows, and data, why not our own AI? Or in other words, why give all of this away to improve others’ AI models?

  • Public benchmarks are a commodity, whereas private evaluations leverage proprietary, real-world customer data and edge cases that competitors simply cannot access or replicate. Also, high-quality internal evaluations act as a precise product compass. They allow teams to ship updates rapidly and safely by instantly flagging hidden regressions or broken dependencies.

  • In a world of fast-followers and open-source clones, competitors can mimic features, but can’t replicate the continuous, automated improvement cycle powered by private evaluations. In fact, private evaluations capture years of hard-earned operational history—including past failures, bugs, and user friction points—transforming them into an asset that will becomes more valuable with time.

1 tool I love

🎓 AI Chief of Staff

  • Chief listens to your calls, captures every decision and commitment, and auto-assigns follow-ups to your team, thereby eliminating the endless admin work that typically follows meetings.

  • Chief now supports Fortune 500 C-suite executives as well as owners of 9-figure businesses. You can learn more from Chief’s founder DROdio here.

What’s top of mind for founders?

Founders have been asking me a lot about community-led growth. You can hear my latest thoughts below 👇🏼

Please hit “reply” with any thoughts and reactions, and stay tuned for more on what’s new and next in the coming month!

Hope you had a Happy Fourth of July 🇺🇸 and Happy Canada Day 🇨🇦 (for those who celebrated) 🎉

Cheers,

Shuo

PS If you’ve read this far, then you deserve something funny 👇🏼

More of my work 👇🏼

🎤 Decode videos | For top Berkeley and Stanford founders

  • DECODE is the largest founder community co-hosted across UC Berkeley and Stanford. The DECODE annual conference focuses on helping founders in their earliest stages of starting a startup.

  • I’ve had the honor of serving on the DECODE board since 2016. You can find videos from the latest conference I helped host here 👇🏼

  • My team and I have crowdsourced the largest AI prompt library optimized for founders – especially fractional founders — to help them build, sell and operate 10x faster and better.

  • I regularly host pop-up boards, a unique 45-minute session where founders ask their toughest strategic questions and get tailored advice from top builders and operators from Google, Microsoft, Meta and more.